The virus makes a variation to make the epidemic situation prospect of influenza hard to predict

The virus makes a variation to make the epidemic situation prospect of influenza hard to predict
The virus makes a variation to make the epidemic situation prospect of influenza hard to predict
Xinhua News Agency supports the special article of this newspaper ' Feng WuYong) Over one month, the epidemic situation of pig's influenza has taken place in American and the Mexican two countries, a plurality of national reports find the suspected pig influenza case making a definite diagnosis of. World Health Organization has already classified it as " The urgent state of affair of the global public health " . And medical expert most felt in a dilemma at the present stage, how to judge and predict scale and development prospect of this epidemic situation, in order to offer more scientific basis for making policy publically, even the name of this influenza is queried by some experts. May move towards " Two extremes " As all parts quote people in succession are infected with pig's influenza case, some epidemiology experts begin to be anxious, whether the so global influenza epidemic situation of Spain's influenza would reappear in similar 1918. Spain's influenza is the most serious influenza epidemic situation in modern history, according to recording, global 40's population is infected, seizes at least 5 0 0 0 people's lives. Make a start from epidemic situation situation of Mexico come, watch, the the intersection of pig and the intersection of influenza and epidemic situation break out unexpectedly, fast growing, increased by number of people of the sense and death case fast. But medical experts do not dare to affirm easily new global influenza break out and take shape. It is reported, the Mexican health minister announces at the news briefing on the 27th in Cordoba, the Mexican government determines to be the range will be expanded from original epidemic-stricken area to the whole country to suspend classes since the 27th, suspending classes includes teaching places such as universities, middle and primary schools and kindergarten,etc., prevent the epidemic situation of pig's influenza strictly from spreading. Oersted (Oe) Holm of researcher Michael of epidemic situation tells Associated Press' reporter influenza of U.S.A. Minnesota university on the 26th, the reason why is difficult to draw a conclusion, because the epidemic situation of pig's influenza is between two extremes that may develop at present, disappear in a flash in several week in the future probably, only the intersection of influenza and large " begin play " that break out probably too . " we do not know now that is in any areas between two extremes, " He says, " this is really a question. " The medical special column author of Associated Press works blue and thinks, by the look of situation of the present stage high inside, pig's influenza can not be still deserved to be called the global epidemic situation. He say, at present unable to confirm, have how much people infect pig's influenza virus really, also unable to confirm whether new influenza virus is extremely apt to travel - --And this is that the educational circles of epidemic disease distinguish general influenza breaking out and one of the important signs of the global influenza epidemic situation. Mayor, New York of U.S.A., Bloomberg say city this make a definite diagnosis of, infect with number, pig of influenza, already rise to 28 people 27, all the infeted are in the same school. So far, U.S.A. has made a definite diagnosis of the number of people which is infected with pig's influenza and has already been up to 40. Many kinds of influenza virus mixture U.S.A.s control and prevent the information that the centre releases to reveal, poison this new to make a variation virus is human influenza virus, the intersection of North America and bird flu virus, and the mixtures of North America, Europe and Asian pig influenza virus. Mike, reporter of Associated Press, constructs and asks the shellfish to say, compared with influenza of pig that took place in the past, this pig's influenza virus seems easier to propagate between people and people. Paris -based World Animals Health Organization publishes the communique and says on the 27th, this kind of virus is different from seasonal influenza virus, but not found this kind of virus on pig, so name it as " Pig's influenza " The virus is inaccurate. Organization this show in the past, people regular meeting come on, go on, name to some influenza according to birthplace, such as the intersection of Spain and influenza,etc., so name " North America influenza " influenza these time It is more rational. The intersection of German and Friedrich - rein in, rein in the intersection of animal and the intersection of hygiene and the intersection of Thomas and May Letts Teng, chief of research institute, think too, " pig's influenza " Statement wrong. The websites of this research institute publish the article and say, the influenza epidemic situation taking place at present has already been confirmed it is caused by a kind of A / H 1 N 1 type influenza virus, it is similar to pig's influenza virus, but further test the conclusion drawn, this is a kind of new A / H 1 N 1 type virus, have not been found on pig or people in the past. Assistant Secretary General Feitian of World Health Organization who is responsible for the safe and environmental affairs of the hygiene offers two to point out, the unpredictability of the epidemic situation may continue making a variation in pig's influenza virus one while still behaving, may become more dangerous, may reduce the risk formed to human health after making a variation too. He still shows, the epidemic situation of influenza of pig that evidence does not proves Mexico gets rich quick at present results from biological terrorist attack.


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